What the score means
Collapse Risk estimates how exposed a Pokemon card printing is to a fast market drawdown. It is not a buy or sell instruction.
Inputs
The current model weighs sample market price movement, price level, rarity, special-set supply, character concentration, reprint exposure, and visible liquidity proxies. Every score keeps the reasons attached so a reader can challenge the result.
Limits
Pokemon TCG API price fields are useful snapshots but not a complete market. Private sales, graded population changes, marketplace fees, condition spread, and paid data sources can change the picture. CardCollapse favors cautious language when data is incomplete.
Source summary: Seed data and sync jobs use Pokemon TCG API v2 card, set, image, legality, and TCGPlayer price fields where available.